X = Same Geography

Will the Democratic Party win the US presidential elections 2012?

Probability that X will occur
63.3 % arrow-up
Total change 58.3 %
Time to expiry
5 Months 21 Days
Last trade price0.633
Last trade time04.Mar 09:47
Last trade volume9
Start price0.4
Overall volume1288
All (!) of the following conditions must be met for X to occur:: 
The winner of the US presidential elections 2012 is a member of the Democratic Party
Source (Optional): 
3 international and objective news agencies
$
Receive$ --if you are right

X will happen

Trade History

Date
Time
Volume
Price
04.0321:47290.652
05.1221:30230.659
13.0821:4990.615
12.1113:021510.496
05.1113:40300.393
17.1022:00380.47
15.1013:171510.669
14.1014:561440.699
14.1014:13640.469

Order book

Bid
Volume
Price
100.613
100.594
100.575
100.555
100.535
100.515
100.495
100.475
100.455
100.435
Ask
Volume
Price
100.643
100.662
100.679
100.697
100.713
100.729
100.745
100.76
100.774
100.788

X will not happen

Trade History

Date
Time
Volume
Price
04.0321:47290.348
05.1221:30230.341
13.0821:4990.385
12.1113:021510.505
05.1113:40300.607
05.1113:16100.584
17.1022:00380.53
15.1013:171510.332
14.1014:561440.302
14.1014:13640.531

Order book

Bid
Volume
Price
100.357
100.338
100.321
100.303
100.287
100.271
100.255
100.24
100.226
100.212
Ask
Volume
Price
100.387
100.406
100.425
100.445
100.465
100.485
100.505
100.525
100.545
100.565
Predict X is a non-commercial crowdsourcing prediction market that allows users to create, trade and share future events. PredictX makes trading simple, fun and interactive. It was founded in 2010 by 2 graduate economic students who use this platform to generate data for scientific research.