Will Turkey become a full EU member country by 2013?

Probability that X will occur
32.5 % arrow-up
Total change -35 %
Time to expiry
5 Months 14 Days
Last trade price0.325
Last trade time26.Apr 03:29
Last trade volume9
Start price0.5
Overall volume8478
All (!) of the following conditions must be met for X to occur:: 
The EU must acknowledge Turkey as full member country
For any evantualities predictX will judge at its own objective discretion
Source (Optional): 
3 international and objective news agencies
Official EU statement
$
Receive$ --if you are right

X will happen

Trade History

Date
Time
Volume
Price
26.0403:29190.321
26.0403:29300.301
12.0416:27100.288
12.0416:242240.217
12.0416:24100.149
05.0211:143860.223
31.0118:4680.352
06.1215:202010.275
27.0613:532710.261
17.0319:16170.307
18.1110:04290.3
16.1115:222340.402
10.1109:40700.553
10.1109:39600.624
08.1100:451000.608
05.1117:461000.605
04.1121:343110.493
04.1121:341100.261
04.1119:313810.275
04.1119:31400.389
03.1113:29960.475
27.1016:56830.484
27.1012:041000.366
27.1012:02200.295
27.1012:00100.278
27.1011:57100.267
24.1021:121000.211
14.1020:282790.283
14.1019:591310.384
14.1014:59290.302
14.1013:451550.224
14.1013:451700.092
14.1012:202230.1
14.1012:181500.267
14.1012:17720.443

Order book

Bid
Volume
Price
100.321
100.313
100.305
100.297
100.289
100.282
100.274
100.267
100.26
100.253
Ask
Volume
Price
100.334
100.342
100.35
100.359
100.367
100.376
100.385
100.394
100.402
100.411

X will not happen

Trade History

Date
Time
Volume
Price
26.0403:29490.691
12.0416:27100.712
12.0416:242340.786
05.0211:143860.778
31.0118:4680.648
06.1215:202010.726
27.0613:53240.808
27.0613:532470.732
17.0319:16170.693
18.1110:04290.7
16.1115:222340.598
10.1109:40700.447
10.1109:39600.376
08.1100:451000.392
05.1117:461000.396
04.1121:344210.568
04.1119:314210.715
03.1113:29960.526
27.1016:56830.517
27.1012:041000.634
27.1012:02200.706
27.1012:00100.722
27.1011:57100.733
24.1021:121000.789
14.1020:28590.841
14.1020:282200.683
14.1019:591310.617
14.1014:59290.699
14.1013:453250.844
14.1012:202230.901
14.1012:181500.734
14.1012:17720.558

Order book

Bid
Volume
Price
100.666
100.658
100.65
100.641
100.633
100.624
100.615
100.606
100.598
100.589
Ask
Volume
Price
100.679
100.687
100.695
100.703
100.711
100.718
100.726
100.733
100.74
100.747